Melbourne Commercial Office Market 2026: A Market of Two Halves- b

Melbourne’s office market is changing. For property owners, investors and occupiers, understanding where the demand is — and where it isn’t — has never been more important.

The Melbourne commercial office market continues to work through one of the most significant periods of change in decades.

CBD vacancy remains elevated, tenant requirements have shifted, incentives remain substantial and secondary buildings are facing considerably more competition than premium assets.

At the same time, there are signs that the market is beginning to rebalance.

The latest Property Council of Australia data puts Melbourne CBD office vacancy at 18.9% as at July 2026, marginally down from 19.0% six months earlier. Melbourne nevertheless continues to have the highest CBD office vacancy rate among Australia's major capital cities.

But vacancy alone doesn't tell the whole story.

A market increasingly divided by quality

One of the clearest trends emerging across Melbourne is the growing gap between premium and secondary office buildings.

Businesses are increasingly looking for workplaces that offer more than simply four walls and desks. Building quality, location, amenity, end-of-trip facilities, access to public transport, natural light and the overall employee experience are becoming increasingly important considerations.

The Property Council reported that premium office vacancy nationally fell to 10.2% during the first half of 2026, while demand remained concentrated in higher-quality buildings and prime CBD locations.

For Melbourne property owners, this creates an important distinction.

A building can be located in the CBD and still face significant leasing challenges if it does not compete effectively with newer or better-positioned alternatives.

This is contributing to a two-speed market:

Prime and high-quality assetsStrong tenant interest, improving rents and greater competition for well-located, quality space.

Secondary and older assetsHigher vacancy, longer leasing periods and greater pressure to offer incentives or undertake capital improvements.

Tenant demand is improving — but selectively

There are encouraging signs beneath Melbourne's headline vacancy figure.

CBRE reported 54,808 sqm of 12-month net absorption in Melbourne CBD to the first half of 2026, the strongest 12-month absorption among Australia's CBD markets at that time.

This suggests that businesses are still taking office space.

However, the nature of that demand is changing.

Rather than simply expanding their footprint, many businesses are reassessing how much space they actually need and what they expect from their workplace.

This means landlords increasingly need to compete on the quality and functionality of their space, rather than relying solely on location.

For some buildings, refurbishment may be enough to improve their competitive position.

For others, the economics may point towards a different strategy altogether.

The development pipeline is tightening

Another important factor is the limited amount of new office supply expected to enter the market.

CBRE reports that approximately 100,000 sqm of backfill space is expected to enter the market during 2027–2028, while very little new development is likely to commence in the short term. The next significant wave of new supply is not expected until at least 2032.

This could become increasingly important.

Melbourne currently has a large amount of vacant office space, but much of that vacancy is concentrated in buildings and locations that do not necessarily compete directly with premium new developments.

As the existing stock is gradually absorbed and older buildings are withdrawn, converted or repositioned, the composition of available office space could change considerably.

What does this mean for landlords?

For commercial property owners, the question is no longer simply:

"What is my property worth?"

A more useful question may be:

"What is the best strategy for this property in the current market?"

For some owners, retaining the property and improving the asset may make sense.

For others, securing a tenant and locking in income may be the priority.

For certain buildings, selling while there is still investor demand may be appropriate.

And for some older or strategically located properties, redevelopment or alternative uses may need to be considered.

The correct strategy depends on the individual property.

Factors such as location, building quality, floor plate, vacancy, existing leases, rental income, capital expenditure requirements, land value and redevelopment potential can materially change the answer.

The leasing equation has changed

The days when landlords could simply advertise an office, wait for enquiries and negotiate a lease are becoming less relevant in many parts of Melbourne.

Tenants have more choice.

Incentives remain an important part of the leasing equation, while businesses are increasingly comparing the total cost of occupancy rather than simply the advertised rental.

This means landlords need to understand their effective rental position, not just the headline face rent.

A property offering a higher face rent with a large incentive package may ultimately produce a very different financial outcome from a property with a lower face rent and smaller incentive.

For owners, understanding this distinction can make a significant difference when deciding whether to lease, refurbish, reposition or sell.

The opportunity in a difficult market

High vacancy is clearly a challenge for Melbourne office owners.

But markets undergoing structural change can also create opportunities.

Owners who understand their property's position relative to competing buildings can make better-informed decisions about capital expenditure, leasing, holding periods and potential sale strategies.

For investors, the same conditions can create opportunities to acquire well-located assets where pricing has adjusted but the underlying land, location or long-term potential remains attractive.

The key is being selective.

What should Melbourne office owners be asking?

If you own a Melbourne commercial office property, some of the questions worth considering now include:

  • What is my property realistically worth in today's market?

  • How does my building compare with competing properties?

  • Is my current rental competitive?

  • What level of incentive is required to secure a tenant?

  • Would refurbishment materially improve leasing prospects?

  • Should I lease the property or consider selling?

  • Would a different tenancy configuration improve demand?

  • Does the property have redevelopment or alternative-use potential?

  • Is it better to hold the asset for the next 3–5 years?

  • What would the property be worth with a secure lease in place?

These are not questions that can be answered effectively by looking at a single comparable sale or a headline vacancy statistic.

They require an assessment of the individual property and its position within the broader Melbourne market.

Looking ahead

Melbourne's office market is unlikely to recover uniformly.

The recovery is likely to be driven by quality, location and adaptability.

Prime buildings are already seeing stronger tenant demand, while secondary stock continues to face greater pressure. At the same time, the limited development pipeline could gradually reduce the amount of genuinely new office accommodation entering the market.

For property owners, this makes strategy increasingly important.

The right decision may be to lease.

It may be to sell.

It may be to refurbish, reposition or redevelop.

There is no single answer for every Melbourne office property.

The important thing is understanding the options before making the decision.

Melbourne Commercial Property Advisory

We provide independent advice to Melbourne commercial property owners on sales, leasing, investment and property strategy.

Our approach is focused on understanding the individual property, the surrounding market and the available options — helping owners make better-informed property decisions.

Considering selling or leasing a Melbourne commercial office property?

Contact us to discuss your property and the options available.